Sunday, January 31, 2021

Your Weekend Briefing

Coronavirus Variants, GameStop, Polar Vortex

Welcome to the Weekend Briefing. We’re covering the state of the coronavirus, the GameStop frenzy and the history of a magic trick.

James Estrin/The New York Times

1. U.S. health officials are waiting to see if more contagious coronavirus variants upend the country’s progress in its battle against the virus.

Most communities remain at an extremely high risk of contracting the virus, like New York City, above. But transmission seems to be slowing throughout the country, with the number of new average cases 40 percent lower on Jan. 29 than at the U.S. peak three weeks earlier.

Still, the average reported daily death rate over the past seven days was above 3,000, and we are by no means out of the woods yet.

Variants threaten to send case rates to a new high if they take hold, as health officials have warned may be the case by March.

Maryland and South Carolina identified their first cases of the variant from South Africa. A variant from Brazil was detected in Minnesota this week, and one from Britain has been detected in at least 30 states.

“It is a pivotal moment,” one virologist said. “It is a race with the new variants to get a large number of people vaccinated before those variants spread.”

In recent days, Johnson & Johnson and Novavax have each announced that their vaccines provided strong protection against Covid-19 but that their efficacy rate dropped against the South African variant.

Mario Tama/Getty Images

2. Vaccine development exceeded everyone’s expectations. But doctors still have woefully few drugs to treat sick patients.

A handful of therapies — remdesivir, monoclonal antibodies and the steroid dexamethasone — have improved the care of Covid-19 patients, putting doctors in a better position than they were when the virus surged last spring. But the U.S. government invested far less money in drug development than it did in its vaccine program and neglected any promising drugs, called antivirals, that could stop the disease early.

There has been one spot of good news: Britain, a country that botched much of its pandemic response, has managed one of the fastest vaccine distribution processes in the world.

Seth Herald/Getty Images

3. Former President Donald Trump insisted that the radical left was endangering the country as right-wing extremism was building ominously. Federal law enforcement agencies followed suit.

Key resources and domestic security agencies were diverted away from violent white supremacists to focus on cases involving anarchists or those involved with the antifa movement. Some investigators felt pressured to find evidence, which never materialized, that antifa adherents were terrorists.

The scale and intensity of the threat from the right became stunningly clear on Jan. 6, when a pro-Trump mob attacked the Capitol.

Separately, prosecutors announced the first federal conspiracy charges against members of the Proud Boys in connection with the riot.

Anna Moneymaker for The New York Times

4. February will test President Biden.

The most daunting challenge will be balancing his stated desire for bipartisanship with his sense of urgency, our chief White House correspondent writes, as he wrestles with contentious legislative negotiations over his $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, a slow confirmation process for the rest of his senior team and the Senate impeachment trial of his predecessor.

We fact-checked Mr. Biden’s first week in office. All but three of 20 claims the president made were accurate.

On the right, Kevin McCarthy, the House minority leader, and Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, want to take back Republican control of Congress in 2022. First they have to figure out how to handle Donald Trump.

Aaron Wojack for The New York Times

5. Robinhood pitched itself to unsophisticated investors as the antithesis of Wall Street. It didn’t say that it also entirely relies on Wall Street.

Those two realities collided this week when legions of armchair investors on the trading app who had been buying up options and shares of GameStop banded together to squeeze hedge funds by driving stock prices to dizzying levels.

The frenzy forced Robinhood to find emergency cash to continue to be able to trade. The company also stopped customers from buying a number of heavily traded stocks, which prompted rare bipartisan condemnation and a rush by both parties to side with the young traders disrupting the markets.

The story of Robinhood’s distress followed a similar arc to those of Facebook and Google — Silicon Valley darlings that are now caught in the cross hairs of an angry public and lawmakers. Above, Baiju Bhatt and Vladimir Tenev, the co-founders of Robinhood, in 2016.

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Tony Dejak/Associated Press

6. The polar vortex is back, and wow, is it cold.

Bitterly frigid air is hitting the Northeast (in some areas dropping well below zero), and snowstorms are expected along the I-95 corridor from Washington to Boston on Monday and Tuesday. Above, ice fishermen in Solon, Ohio, on Friday.

The disturbances in the upper-atmosphere phenomena that can send icy blasts from the Arctic have persisted for an unusually long time this year, and climate change appears to be part of the mix. “The motto for snowstorms in the era of climate change could be ‘go big or go home!’” one climatologist said.

Staying inside this weekend? For the price of $15, watch a Sundance Film Festival screening from the comfort of your couch.

The New York Times

7. Public smears have been around for centuries. But they are far more effective in the internet age.

Two years ago, Guy Babcock discovered that someone had slandered him online. And also his wife. His sister. His brother-in-law. His aunt. His cousin. And many more. He investigated and discovered a grudge that went back 25 years.

The Babcock family had been targeted by a super-spreader of slander, dragged into an internet cesspool where people’s reputations are held for ransom. Theirs is the cautionary tale of the power of a lone person to destroy countless reputations, aided by platforms like Google, Pinterest and WordPress that rarely intervene.

Nolan Pelletier

8. And now for a little magic.

One hundred years ago this month, the magician P.T. Selbit ushered his assistant into an upright wooden box, sealed it, laid it flat and got down to business, sawing the box right down the middle. The show, according to magic experts, was the first time a performer ever sawed someone in half.

Why has this trick survived, when so many others haven’t? The six magicians our reporter talked to eventually landed on one answer: the simplicity of it.

As for being the assistant, “when you’re doing it, you’re not a passive person,” one magician said. “It’s claustrophobic, and quite noisy, but such fun.”

Nasuna Stuart-Ulin for The New York Times

9. The orange beef? “Not that good.” The chicken? Don’t bother.

The brutal honesty that the restaurant Cuisine AuntDai uses to describe its dishes has drawn worldwide attention, perhaps striking an evocative chord of humility during the pandemic. The menu at the Montreal eatery also includes a healthy dose of skepticism of North American-style Chinese food.

“We are not 100% satisfied with the flavor now and it will get better really soon,” the menu advises about a cold dish called Mouth-watering chicken, before quickly adding: “PS: I am surprised that some customers still order this plate.”

With traveling largely out of the question, our wine critic selected 20 wines under $20 that can take you on a trip around the globe.

Marzena Skubatz

10. And finally, a plethora of great reads.

The turtle that reignited hope for its species. Monitoring the weather at the edge of the world, above. An organ recital in Britain — with a coronavirus shot. Catch up on these stories and more in the latest edition of The Weekender.

Our editors also suggest these 10 new books; “The Lady and the Dale,” a twisty new docu-series; new songs from FKA twigs; and more.

Did you follow the news this week? Test your knowledge with our quiz. And here’s the front page of our Sunday paper, the Sunday Review from Opinion and our crossword puzzles.

Only 48 days until the first day of spring. Have a hopeful week.

Your Weekend Briefing is published Sundays at 6:30 a.m. Eastern.

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Friday, January 29, 2021

The Morning: Bidencare

It shows how little Trump did to undermine Obamacare.

Good morning. Biden’s health care moves underscore how little Trump did to sabotage Obamacare.

An insurance agency in Miami offers plans under the Affordable Care Act.Joe Raedle/Getty Images

High school, Social Security … Obamacare

Obamacare endured a grueling first decade of existence. Its launch was famously clunky. It was unpopular in its early years. It narrowly escaped repeal at both the Supreme Court and in Congress.

But the law — passed in 2010 and more formally known as the Affordable Care Act — has survived. It’s more than survived, in fact. It now stands as a monument to a particular theory of progressive lawmaking: When the federal government enacts a new benefit that makes life easier for millions of people, the program tends to endure. That describes universal high school, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and now Obamacare.

President Biden yesterday signed a package of executive actions on health care, and many experts described them as steps to undo Donald Trump’s attempted sabotage of the law. Which they are. But the modest scope of the actions is also a reminder of how little progress Trump made in undermining the law.

Consider this chart:

The New York Times | Source: United States Census Bureau, via Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

The number of Americans without health insurance did rise during the Trump presidency, because of his attempts to diminish the law. His administration did little to advertise Obamacare policies and weakened some of its provisions, like protections for people with certain medical conditions. But this increase in the number of uninsured reversed only a small portion of the decline caused by Obamacare.

Even after Trump, an additional 20 million or so Americans have health insurance today largely because of Obamacare. Others have better benefits — like maternity care and addiction treatment — or face lower costs.

What Biden did yesterday

Biden’s orders still matter, because Trump’s actions mattered.

Biden will try to strengthen protections for people with medical conditions. He will also create a new three-month sign-up period for Obamacare, starting next month, aimed partly at people who lost their jobs during the pandemic. The most recent sign-up period was in the fall.

Perhaps most significant, the Biden administration plans to promote the sign-up period heavily, through advertisements, email and other outreach, according to my colleague Margot Sanger-Katz, who’s been covering Obamacare for most of its existence. “Biden’s people think the Trump people bungled the regular enrollment period,” Margot told me.

By the end of Trump’s presidency, the uninsured rate probably rose close to 10 percent, from 8.6 percent in the Obama administration’s final year. Through executive action, Biden may be able to reduce it to about 8 percent over the next four years, according to my reporting.

The bigger question is whether Biden can persuade Congress to pass a new law that would go further than Obamacare did, by making coverage less expensive for more people. Otherwise, at least 25 million Americans are likely to remain uninsured.

“There are still millions of poor, uninsured Americans in states that didn’t expand Medicaid,” Margot says, “and millions of middle-class Americans who find Obamacare insurance unaffordable.”

The big picture: “The Affordable Care Act is a highly flawed, distressingly compromised, woefully incomplete attempt to establish a basic right that already exists … in every other developed nation,” Jonathan Cohn, another longtime health care journalist, writes in “The Ten Year War,” a forthcoming book. “It is also the most ambitious and significant piece of domestic legislation to pass in half a century.”

THE LATEST NEWS

THE VIRUS
A vaccination site in Greenville, S.C.Travis Dove for The New York Times
  • Novavax, a little-known company supported by the federal government’s Operation Warp Speed, said that its coronavirus vaccine was almost 90 percent effective. But it’s only about 50 percent effective against the variant that was first found in South Africa.
  • Health officials have now detected that variant in the U.S., in at least two people in South Carolina.
  • Mexico’s death toll became the world’s third highest. Cases have surged in the country since December, and its hospitals are struggling.
  • Vietnam, which has been relatively successful in containing the virus, reported 82 new infections, the first local transmissions in nearly two months. Some cases may be connected to the variant that has been spreading in Britain.
  • Unionized nurses demonstrated across the country this week, seeking better protections from the virus. It’s a sign of the power that health care worker unions are seeking to build during the pandemic.
GAMESTOP
  • GameStop’s stock plummeted 44 percent yesterday, after days of rapid growth spurred by groups of small investors who gather online. The company’s stock is still 200 percent higher than it was at the start of the week.
  • Several trading platforms, including Robinhood, restricted users’ ability to trade GameStop and other volatile stocks for much of the day.
  • Ted Cruz and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — from opposite sides of the political spectrum — complained that Robinhood’s restrictions punished ordinary people, while large investors and hedge funds were able to trade freely.
  • Robinhood said that it was raising more than $1 billion from its existing investors as it strained to fulfill trades during the stock market frenzy. (For more details, check out DealBook.)
  • That a Reddit forum upended Wall Street should come as no surprise, the Times’s tech columnist Kevin Roose writes: “Book publishers, movie studios, restaurant chains — all of them have, in some way, been forced to cede power to their online critics.”
OTHER BIG STORIES
  • General Motors says it will sell only electric vehicles by 2035, phasing out the gas-powered pickup trucks and S.U.V.s that today earn billions for the company.
  • A liquid nitrogen leak at a poultry plant in Gainesville, Ga., killed six people. Union officials said the accident raised questions about safety protocols at the plant.
  • Biden is trying to persuade Republicans to back a $1.9 trillion spending package, but Democrats are pursuing another path to get the relief approved even without bipartisan support.
  • Representative Kevin McCarthy, the top House Republican, held a “cordial” meeting with Donald Trump to court support for Republican candidates. The meeting, weeks after McCarthy blamed Trump for the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, shows how reluctant Republicans are to desert the former president.
  • Some Republican members of Congress have links to organizations and movements that played a role in the assault on the Capitol, prompting scrutiny. And body camera footage shows how Capitol rioters trampled over a 34-year-old woman.
This fluffy white raptor became Manhattan’s latest celebrity bird yesterday.Maryté Mercado
MORNING READS

Modern Love: It’s a good time to find love on multiplayer online role-playing games.

From Opinion: How can adults reduce stress and increase kinship? Try therapeutic crying.

And with these Op-Docs, you can bring Sundance to your living room.

Lives Lived: In a seven-decade-long career, Cicely Tyson broke ground for Black actors by refusing to take demeaning parts. She won three Emmys, an honorary Oscar, and at 88 she became the oldest person to win a Tony. She died at 96.

When Christopher Little received the first three chapters of a book about a boy wizard in 1995, he initially dismissed it. But his office manager insisted he give it a chance. Little became the literary agent who helped build an empire around Harry Potter. Little died at 79.

This newsletter is free, but you can go deeper into the stories we highlight each morning with a subscription to The Times. Please consider becoming a subscriber today.

ARTS AND IDEAS

The 1953 Academy Awards, the first to be broadcast on television.J.R. Eyerman/The LIFE Picture Collection, via Getty Images

How to fix the Oscars

The first Academy Awards ceremony, on May 16, 1929, was 15 minutes long and resembled a corporate banquet. Over the years, the ceremony turned into the hourslong spectacle that you’ve probably watched at some point. Now some critics and Hollywood people are urging new changes.

Some could even take effect this year. The ceremony has been postponed until late April because of the pandemic.

A.O. Scott, a film critic at The Times, made the case for completely revamping the ceremony. Among his suggestions: expanding the awards categories to create separate prizes for genres like comedy, horror and action, which are typically not considered prestige cinema and are shut out from awards.

He also recommends treating “Parasite,” last year’s best-picture winner, “not as an outlier but as a harbinger.” It was the first film not in the English language to win that award, and it “fulfilled the Oscar ideal” — a well-crafted movie with something to say that stands the test of time — better than any mainstream Hollywood production in decades, he writes. So why not remove the best international feature category and make best picture an explicitly international category? Another idea: broadening the awards voting pool by expanding academy membership for more geographical, generational and cultural diversity.

Others have more immediate suggestions. During the pandemic, the actors nominated for awards should stay home and participate remotely, Peter Mehlman, a former “Seinfeld” writer, told The Times. “Don’t you think accepting an Oscar on a couch with dogs and kids might just humanize these people?” he said.

Oscars buzz: Here are the films The Times’s critics and writers would nominate for best picture, including “The Forty-Year-Old Version,” “Sound of Metal” and “Minari.”

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

WHAT TO COOK
Marcus Nilsson for The New York Times. Food stylist: Jamie Kimm. Prop stylist: Angharad Bailey.

Smoked mozzarella, garlicky béchamel and sautéed mushrooms make this mushroom lasagna sing.

ART UP CLOSE

One of the revolutionary artistic mediums of the 20th century? Collage, as evidenced in the Spanish painter Juan Gris’s “Still Life: The Table,” made from newsprint, wallpaper and several other paper stocks. Explore it here.

WHAT TO READ

“Fake Accounts,” the critic Lauren Oyler’s debut novel, follows a smart, irascible narrator who is too steeped in online life and social media. Read Parul Sehgal’s review.

WHAT TO LISTEN TO
LATE NIGHT

The late-night hosts discussed Marjorie Taylor Greene, the Georgia congresswoman who endorsed QAnon.

NOW TIME TO PLAY

The pangrams from yesterday’s Spelling Bee were cardigan and carding. Today’s puzzle is above — or you can play online.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Disorderly brawl (five letters).

TAKE THE NEWS QUIZ
Dmitry Kostyukov for The New York Times

Which top government jobs have still never been held by a woman? What did Anthony Fauci endure over the past year? And what’s going on in the above photo? Take this week’s News Quiz, and see how well you do compared with other Times readers.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you Monday. — David

P.S. A hidden haiku from The Times’s coverage of the latest G.D.P. numbers: “The late-year slump was / driven by a slowdown in / consumer spending.”

Today’s episode of “The Daily” is about the followers of the QAnon conspiracy theory. On “The Ezra Klein Show,” Paul Krugman discusses the state of the economy.

Lalena Fisher, Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Sanam Yar contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

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